Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 4.960029 5.472675 6.019077 6.645437 7.344398 8.101269 8.984098
2025-12-28 4.215205 4.923586 5.727094 6.708604 7.878759 9.233480 10.926991
2026-01-04 3.650211 4.481866 5.478352 6.766500 8.396525 10.402226 13.075126
2026-01-11 3.169906 4.069228 5.201024 6.741040 8.798917 11.477762 15.267780
2026-01-18 2.758685 3.685206 4.903860 6.641028 9.081155 12.427388 17.433988
2026-01-25 2.419602 3.350435 4.624700 6.520003 9.307522 13.319706 19.646483
2026-02-01 2.141538 3.063734 4.373054 6.398067 9.505934 14.186036 21.940880
2026-02-08 1.910283 2.815547 4.144503 6.275361 9.677779 15.023114 24.305103
2026-02-15 1.733110 2.626424 3.979512 6.224074 9.945284 16.032977 27.092563
2026-02-22 1.620976 2.523426 3.932478 6.348753 10.505347 17.583287 31.035050
2026-03-01 1.488872 2.374299 3.795016 6.305537 10.771867 18.661596 34.294039
2026-03-08 1.348980 2.198205 3.594687 6.130287 10.781217 19.277651 36.771300
2026-03-15 1.245459 2.074937 3.473766 6.085822 11.031433 20.388712 40.449234
2026-03-22 1.184582 2.018545 3.461647 6.235123 11.661390 22.309475 46.124808
2026-03-29 1.124474 1.957522 3.434764 6.353057 12.245343 24.222826 52.139854
2026-04-05 1.056466 1.875758 3.361879 6.373776 12.636708 25.796646 57.692214
2026-04-12 0.984219 1.779531 3.252651 6.309932 12.844192 27.007821 62.627138
2026-04-19 0.915488 1.683787 3.135206 6.215903 12.974369 28.065898 67.391602
2026-04-26 0.852513 1.593620 3.020199 6.113932 13.073309 29.065699 72.202704
2026-05-03 0.794846 1.508961 2.908418 6.006438 13.145563 30.012259 77.061422
2026-05-10 0.749010 1.443995 2.830520 5.963843 13.361635 31.336255 83.218476
2026-05-17 0.722973 1.416812 2.827682 6.087185 13.986314 33.769399 93.034212
2026-05-24 0.684045 1.359866 2.757249 6.048923 14.212099 35.214086 100.256536